Quaest Polls 2026 Presidential Race, Including Michelle Bolsonaro and Jaques Wagner
Quaest is set to release new findings on the 2026 presidential election starting Wednesday, July 15th. This survey will present scenarios for both the first and second rounds of voting. The poll's timing follows significant political events, including Michelle Bolsonaro's criticism of Flávio Bolsonaro and a Federal Police operation targeting Senator Jaques Wagner. The questionnaire will also gauge voter sentiment on President Lula's economic policies, the potential end of the 6x1 work shift, investigations into Banco Master, and Brazil-US relations, including tariffs announced by Donald Trump. Additionally, it will explore voter perceptions regarding the public dispute between Michelle Bolsonaro and Flávio Bolsonaro.
The presidential survey includes 12 pre-candidates for the first round, such as Lula, Flávio Bolsonaro, Romeu Zema, Ronaldo Caiado, and Renan Santos. Quaest will also simulate second-round matchups, pitting Lula against Flávio Bolsonaro, Zema, Caiado, and Renan Santos. Commissioned by Genial Investimentos, the poll surveyed 2,004 voters between July 10th and 13th and is registered with the Superior Electoral Court (TSE) under number BR-07181/2026.
This poll's design reflects a strategic effort to capture public sentiment amidst evolving political dynamics and recent controversies. By including questions on specific figures like Michelle Bolsonaro and Jaques Wagner, alongside broader economic and international policy issues, Quaest aims to map potential voter alignments and reactions. The inclusion of multiple second-round scenarios for Lula against various potential opponents provides insight into coalition-building possibilities and the perceived strengths of different political factions. The timing suggests an attempt to leverage current events to inform future electoral strategies, highlighting the interconnectedness of public discourse, investigative actions, and electoral forecasting in Brazil's political landscape.
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